Description

This analysis provides a forecast of WOO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.034834 0.043375 0.053319 0.065711 0.080693 0.098176 0.120073
2025-09-07 0.023109 0.033417 0.047092 0.066387 0.092699 0.127084 0.175134
2025-09-14 0.016417 0.026625 0.041578 0.064716 0.099159 0.147971 0.221646
2025-09-21 0.012226 0.021878 0.037255 0.062957 0.104083 0.166326 0.266263
2025-09-28 0.009455 0.018485 0.033985 0.061711 0.108939 0.184566 0.312529
2025-10-05 0.008338 0.017575 0.034463 0.066433 0.123779 0.219937 0.389709
2025-10-12 0.007177 0.016255 0.033878 0.069060 0.135279 0.251136 0.463810
2025-10-19 0.005932 0.014430 0.031929 0.068724 0.141276 0.273497 0.525385
2025-10-26 0.004958 0.012915 0.030243 0.068504 0.147293 0.296415 0.590368
2025-11-02 0.004144 0.011539 0.028539 0.067880 0.152311 0.317915 0.655005
2025-11-09 0.003329 0.009931 0.025974 0.064910 0.152023 0.329098 0.701221
2025-11-16 0.002625 0.008398 0.023236 0.061001 0.149054 0.334446 0.736415
2025-11-23 0.002021 0.007019 0.020722 0.057560 0.147587 0.344819 0.787746
2025-11-30 0.001696 0.006352 0.019899 0.058169 0.155729 0.377179 0.890223
2025-12-07 0.001362 0.005523 0.018400 0.056689 0.158606 0.398432 0.971803
2025-12-14 0.001095 0.004803 0.017003 0.055132 0.160957 0.418752 1.053900
2025-12-21 0.000892 0.004228 0.015867 0.054028 0.164241 0.441653 1.144731
2025-12-28 0.000835 0.004198 0.016473 0.058210 0.182422 0.502840 1.332236
2026-01-04 0.000747 0.004003 0.016473 0.060539 0.195894 0.554156 1.502188
2026-01-11 0.000629 0.003620 0.015702 0.060241 0.201845 0.587246 1.631664
2026-01-18 0.000532 0.003288 0.015012 0.060045 0.208069 0.621886 1.769148
2026-01-25 0.000447 0.002968 0.014269 0.059493 0.213122 0.654098 1.904276
2026-02-01 0.000357 0.002562 0.013034 0.056862 0.211180 0.666954 1.990540